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Topic: General Sens news, comments, rants etc.

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Spezzial-Delivery
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RE: General Sens news, comments, rants etc.
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I thought about what you both said TJ and Homer and I went looking for sites (as I'm not a statistician) that analyzed hockey stats and I found this site: http://hockeyanalytics.com/2008/01/the-ten-laws-of-hockey-analytics/ (sorry it's not linked I'm on my phone) It has some interesting takes on the numbers... statistically a team with a good goal diff. Just had a higher tendency to make the playoffs (which seems self evident, but as the Leafs could still bomb out makes more sense).

tjlincoln
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Homer wrote:
Spezzial-Delivery wrote:

I was thinking more about the one goal game thing... it's too bad that stat doesn't cover whether a two goal game went empty net or not. (I consider that a one-goal game as well) Look at Columbus... I believe during their crazy 20 game win-streak most of those games were one-goal wins.

True about EN goals. it's also a stat that can be looked at in many ways. 

Back when the Sens dominated the league, they had a bad 1 goal game record.  Some took this as the Sens can't win close games.  

Another way to look at is that no team can go 82-0 and that season, the best a team could do against Ottawa at time was to beat them by one goal.  Other than that, more often than not, the Sens won by 2 or more goals and a few 1 goal games. 

Unfortunately that team had a bad pucker factor especially in the playoffs--and as described above in close games 
Homer
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We outscore opponents in the 1st

Outshoot opponents in the 2nd, but get scored on more

Shots are down in the 3rd, but scoring between the 1st and 2nd.

Opponents score against the Sens in the 2nd and 3rd quite a bit more than the 1st.

 

Scoring by period

 
123otTot.
Team6368654200
Opponent5572716204

Shooting by period

 
123otTot.
Team774835724152348
Opponent805793752172367
 
Homer
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Here are more stats to chew on.

Scoring First   26-8-3
Opp. Scores First  11-25-6
When Outshooting Opponent   15-20-4
When Outshot by Opponent   19-11-5

1-Goal Games   15-15

when After 1 ...

 Lead  16-6-2
 Trail   3-15-2
 Tie1   8-12-5

when After 2 ...

 Lead    27-3-2
 Trail   3-21-3
 Tie   7-9-4
Homer
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Spezzial-Delivery wrote:

I was thinking more about the one goal game thing... it's too bad that stat doesn't cover whether a two goal game went empty net or not. (I consider that a one-goal game as well) Look at Columbus... I believe during their crazy 20 game win-streak most of those games were one-goal wins.

True about EN goals. it's also a stat that can be looked at in many ways. 

Back when the Sens dominated the league, they had a bad 1 goal game record.  Some took this as the Sens can't win close games.  

Another way to look at is that no team can go 82-0 and that season, the best a team could do against Ottawa at time was to beat them by one goal.  Other than that, more often than not, the Sens won by 2 or more goals and a few 1 goal games. 
Spezzial-Delivery
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I was thinking more about the one goal game thing... it's too bad that stat doesn't cover whether a two goal game went empty net or not. (I consider that a one-goal game as well) Look at Columbus... I believe during their crazy 20 game win-streak most of those games were one-goal wins.
Homer
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Spezzial-Delivery wrote:

Here's an interesting stat.... All other teams in the eastern conference have crazy + goal differentials.

....except the Senators... they're at -3. (even Toronto is +11)

On average each NHL team played 30.5 games decided by 1 goal.  Sens are a .500 team in 1 goal games.

Washington, Pittsburgh and surprisingly Calgary have the best records in 1 goal games

Eastern
GPWLOLPTS1 goal game record# of 1 goal games
Atlantic
MTL794624910119-1534
BOS80443069417-1532
OTT794227109415-1530
TOR793925159313-1427
TBL793930108811-1223
FLA793335117714-1731
BUF793235127615-1530
DET803236127611-2435
Metropolitan
WSH795318811418-824
PIT7949191110915-823
CBJ794922810620-1434
NYR794726610019-1231
NYI793829128813-1831
PHI80383398513-1427
CAR793530148415-1934
NJD792837147015-2136
Western
GPWLOLPTS1 goal game record# of 1 goal games
Central
CHI805022810820-1636
MIN804725810215-1934
STL79432979316-1127
NSH804028129212-1527
WPG80383578313-1730
DAL803336117716-1733
COL79225434712-1527
Pacific
ANA8044231310118-1937
SJS80452879717-2037
EDM79442699716-1228
CGY80443249216-723
LAK79383478316-1632
VAN79304096916-1430
ARI802941106813-2033
Russell
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another interesting thing: there is a scenario where the sens could be in a position to eliminate the leafs....by losing to the isles on the last day. Now, i'm not suggesting they throw that game....oh, wait, damn straight I am!
Spezzial-Delivery
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Here's an interesting stat.... All other teams in the eastern conference have crazy + goal differentials.

....except the Senators... they're at -3. (even Toronto is +11)
Russell
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senior wrote:

Ceci, Methot and Smith will not be back before end of regular season. And apparently Sens cannot call up Chabot due to some technicality.

I think they can call up Chabot once his season is over. 
senior
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Ceci, Methot and Smith will not be back before end of regular season. And apparently Sens cannot call up Chabot due to some technicality.
Homer
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Homer wrote:

Sens sign Colin White to entry level contract, will join the team in Detroit.  

Sens also recall Ben Harpur.  Doesn't sound good for the health of our D

 
senior
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Agent Orange wrote:

Oh thank god.  Heritage jerseys with a 2D throwback, please.  It probably can't happen in time for the Adidas takeover, but looks like they are starting to listen to the fans.

Possible rebrand with Anselmi on board?

 I have faith that they will screw this up.
Homer
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Sens sign prospect White to amateur tryout.  

That's good news for the Sens.  They don't burn a year of entry level and it gets him into some 8-9 games with Bingo.  They should be able to give him lots of ice time, which he would not have gotten down the stretch in Ottawa. 
Agent Orange
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Oh thank god.  Heritage jerseys with a 2D throwback, please.  It probably can't happen in time for the Adidas takeover, but looks like they are starting to listen to the fans.

Possible rebrand with Anselmi on board?
senior
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Russell wrote:
Cbinc wrote:

research.JPG

 and bears! don't even get me started on the bears!

 They blame the wolves, they blame the bears. But I know it's squirrels. Oh yes. It's the squirrels.
Russell
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Cbinc wrote:

research.JPG

 and bears! don't even get me started on the bears!
Cbinc
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research.JPG



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Russell
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i sincerely hope this kid finds his game in Calgary. circumstances worked against him here.
tjlincoln
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Lazar for 2nd and Jyrki Jokipakka to the 🔥

 

6'3 215 25yrs old Defenseman 6 points in 38 Games w Flames this season originally a 7th round pick w Dallas



-- Edited by tjlincoln on Wednesday 1st of March 2017 03:08:24 PM

 
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